Earthquake Scenarios
The National Earthquake Scenario Catalogue, presents the probable shaking, damage, loss and consequences from hypothetical earthquakes that could impact Canadians.
It considers only damage to buildings, and their inhabitants, from earthquake shaking, and therefore does not include damage to critical infrastructure or vehicles. Losses from secondary hazards, such as aftershocks, liquefaction, landslides, or fire following are also not currently included.
The information is provided at the approximate scale of Census dissemination areas, and is intended to support planning and emergency management activities in earthquake prone regions.
This project is run by the Geological Survey of Canada's Public Safety Geoscience Program. For inquiries related to the National Earthquake Scenario Catalogue, please contact Tiegan E. Hobbs at tiegan.hobbs@canada.ca.
All products are released under the Open Government Licence - Canada.
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Organization name:
Government of Canada;Natural Resources Canada;Lands and Minerals Sector, Geological Survey of Canada -
Email:
GSC.info.CGC@NRCan.gc.ca
Completed Scenarios
 Magnitude less than 6.0 |
 Magnitude 6.0 to 7.9 |
 Magnitude 8.0 or greater |
Leech River Full Fault - Magnitude 7.3
Magnitude 7.3 scenario based on complete rupture of the CanSHM6 Hazard Model implementation of the Leech River Full Fault.
| Resource Name | Format | Links | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GitHub repository | Document | HTML | Access |
| Riskprofiler Page (Points) | Web Service | HTML | Access |
| Riskprofiler Page (Polygons) | Web Service | HTML | Access |
| Leech River Full Fault - Magnitude 7.3 (Points) | Dataset | GPKG | Access |
| Leech River Full Fault - Magnitude 7.3 (Polygons) | Dataset | GPKG | Access |
Sidney - Magnitude 7.1
Evaluating impact of increasing magnitude using the 2015 Mw 4.7 Sidney, BC, Earthquake hypocentre. More info at https://earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/recent/2015/20151230.0739/index-en.php - Strike selected to approximately parallel the strike of the subducting slab for this deep intraslab extensional event.
| Resource Name | Format | Links | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GitHub repository | Document | HTML | Access |
| Riskprofiler Page (Points) | Web Service | HTML | Access |
| Riskprofiler Page (Polygons) | Web Service | HTML | Access |
| Sidney - Magnitude 7.1 (Points) | Dataset | GPKG | Access |
| Sidney - Magnitude 7.1 (Polygons) | Dataset | GPKG | Access |
Cascadia Interface Best Fault - Magnitude 9.0
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| Resource Name | Format | Links | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GitHub repository | Document | HTML | Access |
| Riskprofiler Page (Points) | Web Service | HTML | Access |
| Riskprofiler Page (Polygons) | Web Service | HTML | Access |
| Cascadia Interface Best Fault - Magnitude 9.0 (Points) | Dataset | GPKG | Access |
| Cascadia Interface Best Fault - Magnitude 9.0 (Polygons) | Dataset | GPKG | Access |
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